article-poster
30 Dec 2025
Thought leadership
Read time: 3 Min
19k

I Found a $200 Billion Gap Hiding in Plain Sight This Christmas

By philip johansen

I spent the last three weeks digging into holiday shopping data, AI adoption rates, and digital marketing salaries.

What I found shocked me.

The Numbers Tell a Strange Story

Christmas 2024 broke records. Online sales hit $296.7 billion, up 8.6% from last year. Consumers spent an average of $902 per person on winter holidays.

But here's where it gets interesting.

AI-powered shopping assistants drove a 1,300% traffic increase to retail sites during the holiday season. Nearly 28% of shoppers used generative AI to find deals. Another 18% used it to navigate online stores.

The technology clearly works. People trust it. They use it to spend money.

The Monetization Mystery

Now look at this gap.

Nearly two billion people use AI tools. The global generative AI market hit $45 billion in 2023 and projects to reach $200 billion by 2030.

But here's the problem: only 3% of users pay for premium AI services.

I did the math. At an average subscription cost of $20 per month, 1.8 billion users should generate $432 billion annually. Current spending sits at $12 billion.

That's a $420 billion gap between what people could pay and what they actually pay.

Where the Real Opportunity Lives

Most people see this as a problem for AI companies.

I see it differently.

The gap exists because only 23% of marketers have strong AI skills. Meanwhile, digital marketing managers earn a median salary of $130,000. Add Python and SQL proficiency (held by just 31% of marketers), and compensation jumps 30%.

The opportunity isn't in building AI tools. It's in knowing how to use them when everyone else is still figuring out the basics.

What I'm Watching in 2025

Three trends converged this Christmas:

Record consumer spending online during the holidays.

Explosive AI adoption for shopping and decision-making.

Massive skills shortage in the people who can bridge these two worlds.

The International Monetary Fund reports that 40% of current labor income faces potential automation by generative AI. That sounds scary until you flip it around.

Someone has to build, manage, and optimize those automated systems.

Data shows 53% of new businesses credit digital technology with breaking down barriers to business ownership. More than 4,500 survey respondents now view business ownership as a better wealth-building strategy than buying a home.

The Pattern I Keep Seeing

AI-driven search engines like ChatGPT, Co-Pilot, and Perplexity.ai saw 525% revenue growth in 2024.

The people profiting aren't just the companies building these tools. They're the individuals who learned to leverage them before the crowd caught on.

I've tracked this pattern across multiple technology shifts. The window stays open longer than pessimists think but closes faster than optimists expect.

Right now, during this post-Christmas period when consumer behavior data is fresh and AI capabilities are expanding, the window is wide open.

The question isn't whether AI will reshape online income generation.

The question is whether you'll build the skills to capitalize on it before that $200 billion gap closes.

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